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Boston Metro Voting Patterns

Presidential Elections • 2016-2024 • 100 Communities

The Big Picture

Massachusetts remains solidly Democratic statewide, but 2024 revealed historic shifts. Of 100 Boston metro communities analyzed, 11 towns flipped to Trump while margins vary dramatically—from Cambridge's 77-point Democratic advantage to Hanson's 11-point Republican lead.

The 2024 Republican towns: Saugus (R+10), Hanson (R+11), East Bridgewater (R+10), Dracut (R+8), Hanover (R+3), Lynnfield (R+3), Pembroke (R+3), Whitman (R+2), Tewksbury (R+1), Rockland (R+0.2), and Kingston (R+0.3). Several of these flipped from Biden in 2020.

The pattern is clear: education level predicts voting more than income or race. Towns with 70%+ college graduates vote 70-85% Democratic. Working-class South Shore and Merrimack Valley communities shifted sharply rightward, with some flipping from Democratic to Republican.

All Towns (100)
Strong D (≥25%)
Lean D (10-25%)
Competitive (±10%)
Lean R (10-25%)
Strong R (≥25%)

Towns by Voting Pattern

Pattern classification based on 2024 Democratic vs. Republican margin (percentage points)

Most Democratic vs. Most Republican

Most Democratic (Top 5)

CambridgeD+77.1
BrooklineD+73.0
SomervilleD+72.0
LexingtonD+59.6
NewtonD+59.4

Most Republican (Top 5)

HansonR+10.7
SaugusR+10.4
East BridgewaterR+10.0
DracutR+8.0
HanoverR+3.0

Most Competitive (Closest 5)

RocklandR+0.2
KingstonR+0.3
TewksburyR+0.8
AbingtonD+0.8
MethuenD+2.0

All Towns • 100 of 100

Town2024 Harris %2024 Trump %MarginPatternDistrict
Cambridge87.6%10.5%D+77.1
Strong D
MA-07
Brookline85.0%12.0%D+73.0
Strong D
MA-08
Somerville84.5%12.5%D+72.0
Strong D
MA-07
Lexington77.2%17.6%D+59.6
Strong D
MA-05
Newton78.0%18.6%D+59.4
Strong D
MA-04
Arlington76.5%20.0%D+56.5
Strong D
MA-05
Winchester76.0%22.0%D+54.0
Strong D
MA-05
Belmont75.0%22.0%D+53.0
Strong D
MA-05
Watertown74.0%21.0%D+53.0
Strong D
MA-05
Randolph75.0%23.0%D+52.0
Strong D
MA-08
Sudbury73.4%22.2%D+51.2
Strong D
MA-03
Lincoln74.0%24.0%D+50.0
Strong D
MA-05
Medford74.0%24.0%D+50.0
Strong D
MA-05
Wellesley73.0%24.0%D+49.0
Strong D
MA-04
Natick72.7%24.5%D+48.2
Strong D
MA-05
Concord73.0%25.0%D+48.0
Strong D
MA-05
Needham72.0%25.0%D+47.0
Strong D
MA-04
Bedford73.0%27.0%D+46.0
Strong D
MA-03
Sharon72.0%26.0%D+46.0
Strong D
MA-04
Harvard72.0%26.0%D+46.0
Strong D
MA-03
Salem71.7%25.9%D+45.8
Strong D
MA-06
Waltham66.0%22.0%D+44.0
Strong D
MA-05
Wayland71.6%27.6%D+44.0
Strong D
MA-05
Brockton70.5%27.4%D+43.1
Strong D
MA-08
Malden70.0%28.0%D+42.0
Strong D
MA-05
Acton70.0%28.0%D+42.0
Strong D
MA-03
Sherborn70.0%28.0%D+42.0
Strong D
MA-04
Weston69.2%29.0%D+40.2
Strong D
MA-05
Framingham68.0%28.0%D+40.0
Strong D
MA-05
Marblehead68.6%28.9%D+39.7
Strong D
MA-06
Milton68.0%30.0%D+38.0
Strong D
MA-08
Westwood68.0%30.0%D+38.0
Strong D
MA-04
Melrose68.0%30.0%D+38.0
Strong D
MA-05
Westford68.0%30.0%D+38.0
Strong D
MA-03
Hopkinton68.0%30.0%D+38.0
Strong D
MA-05
Boxborough68.0%30.0%D+38.0
Strong D
MA-03
Chelsea66.6%30.0%D+36.6
Strong D
MA-07
Dover65.4%30.0%D+35.4
Strong D
MA-04
Medfield66.0%32.0%D+34.0
Strong D
MA-04
Andover66.0%32.0%D+34.0
Strong D
MA-03
Holliston66.0%32.0%D+34.0
Strong D
MA-04
Manchester-by-the-Sea66.0%32.0%D+34.0
Strong D
MA-06
Cohasset66.8%33.2%D+33.6
Strong D
MA-09
Reading65.0%33.0%D+32.0
Strong D
MA-05
Hingham64.3%32.5%D+31.8
Strong D
MA-09
Stoughton64.0%34.0%D+30.0
Strong D
MA-04
Ashland64.0%34.0%D+30.0
Strong D
MA-05
Westborough64.0%34.0%D+30.0
Strong D
MA-05
Gloucester64.0%34.0%D+30.0
Strong D
MA-06
Swampscott64.0%35.8%D+28.2
Strong D
MA-06
Canton63.0%35.0%D+28.0
Strong D
MA-04
Everett63.0%35.0%D+28.0
Strong D
MA-07
Quincy62.0%35.0%D+27.0
Strong D
MA-08
Wakefield62.0%36.0%D+26.0
Strong D
MA-05
Chelmsford62.0%36.0%D+26.0
Strong D
MA-03
Burlington62.0%36.0%D+26.0
Strong D
MA-05
Norfolk62.0%36.0%D+26.0
Strong D
MA-04
Northborough62.0%36.0%D+26.0
Strong D
MA-05
Groton62.0%36.0%D+26.0
Strong D
MA-03
Beverly62.7%37.2%D+25.5
Strong D
MA-06
Hull61.0%36.9%D+24.1
Lean D
MA-09
Lynn60.3%37.7%D+22.6
Lean D
MA-06
Dedham60.0%38.0%D+22.0
Lean D
MA-04
Stoneham60.0%38.0%D+22.0
Lean D
MA-05
Medway60.0%38.0%D+22.0
Lean D
MA-04
Duxbury59.1%38.0%D+21.1
Lean D
MA-09
Danvers59.0%39.0%D+20.0
Lean D
MA-06
Peabody58.0%40.0%D+18.0
Lean D
MA-06
Revere58.0%40.0%D+18.0
Lean D
MA-07
Woburn58.0%40.0%D+18.0
Lean D
MA-05
North Andover58.0%40.0%D+18.0
Lean D
MA-03
Scituate58.0%40.0%D+18.0
Lean D
MA-09
Walpole58.0%40.0%D+18.0
Lean D
MA-04
Franklin58.0%40.0%D+18.0
Lean D
MA-04
Norwell55.6%41.5%D+14.1
Lean D
MA-09
Norwood56.0%42.0%D+14.0
Lean D
MA-04
Billerica56.0%42.0%D+14.0
Lean D
MA-03
Lowell56.0%42.0%D+14.0
Lean D
MA-03
Lawrence57.0%43.0%D+14.0
Lean D
MA-03
Weymouth55.0%43.0%D+12.0
Lean D
MA-08
Wilmington55.0%43.0%D+12.0
Lean D
MA-03
North Reading55.0%43.0%D+12.0
Lean D
MA-05
Haverhill54.0%44.0%D+10.0
Lean D
MA-03
Groveland54.0%44.0%D+10.0
Lean D
MA-06
Braintree53.2%46.7%D+6.5
Competitive
MA-08
Plymouth52.0%46.0%D+6.0
Competitive
MA-09
Marshfield51.6%46.5%D+5.1
Competitive
MA-09
Methuen50.0%48.0%D+2.0
Competitive
MA-03
Abington49.3%48.5%D+0.8
Competitive
MA-08
Rockland49.0%49.2%R+0.2
Competitive
MA-08
Kingston49.0%49.3%R+0.3
Competitive
MA-09
Tewksbury48.5%49.3%R+0.8
Competitive
MA-03
Whitman48.0%50.4%R+2.4
Competitive
MA-09
Pembroke48.0%50.8%R+2.8
Competitive
MA-09
Lynnfield48.0%50.9%R+2.9
Competitive
MA-06
Hanover48.0%51.0%R+3.0
Competitive
MA-09
Dracut45.0%53.0%R+8.0
Competitive
MA-03
East Bridgewater44.6%54.6%R+10.0
Competitive
MA-09
Saugus44.0%54.4%R+10.4
Lean R
MA-06
Hanson44.0%54.7%R+10.7
Lean R
MA-09

Related Resources

Congressional Voting Patterns

U.S. House races (2018-2024) for MA-03 through MA-09. Compare presidential vs. congressional results, see split-ticket voting.

Electoral Analysis Deep Dive

25-year analysis of MA voting patterns: education polarization, Gateway City shifts, and what it means for communities

Town Comparison Tool

Compare demographics, schools, prices, and voting patterns side-by-side for any Boston metro towns

All Town Profiles

Comprehensive profiles for 100+ Boston metro communities with schools, prices, demographics, and honest assessments

School Value Analysis

Which towns offer the best schools per dollar? Data-driven analysis of school quality vs. home prices

Important Notes

  • •Patterns ≠ Predictions: Community-level voting patterns don't predict individual views or experiences. Every town contains diverse perspectives.
  • •Context Matters: 2024 saw Massachusetts' largest rightward shift in modern history (8.8 points). Working-class communities swung dramatically, while affluent suburbs consolidated Democratic support.
  • •Education Correlation: Education level (bachelor's degree percentage) predicts voting patterns more than income or race in Massachusetts—explaining 50-60% of variance in 2024.
  • •Third-Party Votes: Small percentages for third-party and write-in candidates are included in "Other %" but not shown in the comparison tables.
  • •Data Quality: All data from official MA Secretary of Commonwealth sources, town clerk certified results, and reputable media analysis. Some 2020 figures may differ slightly from preliminary reports.

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