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Presidential Elections • 2016-2024 • 100 Communities
Massachusetts remains solidly Democratic statewide, but 2024 revealed historic shifts. Of 100 Boston metro communities analyzed, 11 towns flipped to Trump while margins vary dramatically—from Cambridge's 77-point Democratic advantage to Hanson's 11-point Republican lead.
The 2024 Republican towns: Saugus (R+10), Hanson (R+11), East Bridgewater (R+10), Dracut (R+8), Hanover (R+3), Lynnfield (R+3), Pembroke (R+3), Whitman (R+2), Tewksbury (R+1), Rockland (R+0.2), and Kingston (R+0.3). Several of these flipped from Biden in 2020.
The pattern is clear: education level predicts voting more than income or race. Towns with 70%+ college graduates vote 70-85% Democratic. Working-class South Shore and Merrimack Valley communities shifted sharply rightward, with some flipping from Democratic to Republican.
Pattern classification based on 2024 Democratic vs. Republican margin (percentage points)
| Town | 2024 Harris % | 2024 Trump % | Margin | Pattern | District |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambridge | 87.6% | 10.5% | D+77.1 | Strong D | MA-07 |
| Brookline | 85.0% | 12.0% | D+73.0 | Strong D | MA-08 |
| Somerville | 84.5% | 12.5% | D+72.0 | Strong D | MA-07 |
| Lexington | 77.2% | 17.6% | D+59.6 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Newton | 78.0% | 18.6% | D+59.4 | Strong D | MA-04 |
| Arlington | 76.5% | 20.0% | D+56.5 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Winchester | 76.0% | 22.0% | D+54.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Belmont | 75.0% | 22.0% | D+53.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Watertown | 74.0% | 21.0% | D+53.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Randolph | 75.0% | 23.0% | D+52.0 | Strong D | MA-08 |
| Sudbury | 73.4% | 22.2% | D+51.2 | Strong D | MA-03 |
| Lincoln | 74.0% | 24.0% | D+50.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Medford | 74.0% | 24.0% | D+50.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Wellesley | 73.0% | 24.0% | D+49.0 | Strong D | MA-04 |
| Natick | 72.7% | 24.5% | D+48.2 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Concord | 73.0% | 25.0% | D+48.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Needham | 72.0% | 25.0% | D+47.0 | Strong D | MA-04 |
| Bedford | 73.0% | 27.0% | D+46.0 | Strong D | MA-03 |
| Sharon | 72.0% | 26.0% | D+46.0 | Strong D | MA-04 |
| Harvard | 72.0% | 26.0% | D+46.0 | Strong D | MA-03 |
| Salem | 71.7% | 25.9% | D+45.8 | Strong D | MA-06 |
| Waltham | 66.0% | 22.0% | D+44.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Wayland | 71.6% | 27.6% | D+44.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Brockton | 70.5% | 27.4% | D+43.1 | Strong D | MA-08 |
| Malden | 70.0% | 28.0% | D+42.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Acton | 70.0% | 28.0% | D+42.0 | Strong D | MA-03 |
| Sherborn | 70.0% | 28.0% | D+42.0 | Strong D | MA-04 |
| Weston | 69.2% | 29.0% | D+40.2 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Framingham | 68.0% | 28.0% | D+40.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Marblehead | 68.6% | 28.9% | D+39.7 | Strong D | MA-06 |
| Milton | 68.0% | 30.0% | D+38.0 | Strong D | MA-08 |
| Westwood | 68.0% | 30.0% | D+38.0 | Strong D | MA-04 |
| Melrose | 68.0% | 30.0% | D+38.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Westford | 68.0% | 30.0% | D+38.0 | Strong D | MA-03 |
| Hopkinton | 68.0% | 30.0% | D+38.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Boxborough | 68.0% | 30.0% | D+38.0 | Strong D | MA-03 |
| Chelsea | 66.6% | 30.0% | D+36.6 | Strong D | MA-07 |
| Dover | 65.4% | 30.0% | D+35.4 | Strong D | MA-04 |
| Medfield | 66.0% | 32.0% | D+34.0 | Strong D | MA-04 |
| Andover | 66.0% | 32.0% | D+34.0 | Strong D | MA-03 |
| Holliston | 66.0% | 32.0% | D+34.0 | Strong D | MA-04 |
| Manchester-by-the-Sea | 66.0% | 32.0% | D+34.0 | Strong D | MA-06 |
| Cohasset | 66.8% | 33.2% | D+33.6 | Strong D | MA-09 |
| Reading | 65.0% | 33.0% | D+32.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Hingham | 64.3% | 32.5% | D+31.8 | Strong D | MA-09 |
| Stoughton | 64.0% | 34.0% | D+30.0 | Strong D | MA-04 |
| Ashland | 64.0% | 34.0% | D+30.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Westborough | 64.0% | 34.0% | D+30.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Gloucester | 64.0% | 34.0% | D+30.0 | Strong D | MA-06 |
| Swampscott | 64.0% | 35.8% | D+28.2 | Strong D | MA-06 |
| Canton | 63.0% | 35.0% | D+28.0 | Strong D | MA-04 |
| Everett | 63.0% | 35.0% | D+28.0 | Strong D | MA-07 |
| Quincy | 62.0% | 35.0% | D+27.0 | Strong D | MA-08 |
| Wakefield | 62.0% | 36.0% | D+26.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Chelmsford | 62.0% | 36.0% | D+26.0 | Strong D | MA-03 |
| Burlington | 62.0% | 36.0% | D+26.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Norfolk | 62.0% | 36.0% | D+26.0 | Strong D | MA-04 |
| Northborough | 62.0% | 36.0% | D+26.0 | Strong D | MA-05 |
| Groton | 62.0% | 36.0% | D+26.0 | Strong D | MA-03 |
| Beverly | 62.7% | 37.2% | D+25.5 | Strong D | MA-06 |
| Hull | 61.0% | 36.9% | D+24.1 | Lean D | MA-09 |
| Lynn | 60.3% | 37.7% | D+22.6 | Lean D | MA-06 |
| Dedham | 60.0% | 38.0% | D+22.0 | Lean D | MA-04 |
| Stoneham | 60.0% | 38.0% | D+22.0 | Lean D | MA-05 |
| Medway | 60.0% | 38.0% | D+22.0 | Lean D | MA-04 |
| Duxbury | 59.1% | 38.0% | D+21.1 | Lean D | MA-09 |
| Danvers | 59.0% | 39.0% | D+20.0 | Lean D | MA-06 |
| Peabody | 58.0% | 40.0% | D+18.0 | Lean D | MA-06 |
| Revere | 58.0% | 40.0% | D+18.0 | Lean D | MA-07 |
| Woburn | 58.0% | 40.0% | D+18.0 | Lean D | MA-05 |
| North Andover | 58.0% | 40.0% | D+18.0 | Lean D | MA-03 |
| Scituate | 58.0% | 40.0% | D+18.0 | Lean D | MA-09 |
| Walpole | 58.0% | 40.0% | D+18.0 | Lean D | MA-04 |
| Franklin | 58.0% | 40.0% | D+18.0 | Lean D | MA-04 |
| Norwell | 55.6% | 41.5% | D+14.1 | Lean D | MA-09 |
| Norwood | 56.0% | 42.0% | D+14.0 | Lean D | MA-04 |
| Billerica | 56.0% | 42.0% | D+14.0 | Lean D | MA-03 |
| Lowell | 56.0% | 42.0% | D+14.0 | Lean D | MA-03 |
| Lawrence | 57.0% | 43.0% | D+14.0 | Lean D | MA-03 |
| Weymouth | 55.0% | 43.0% | D+12.0 | Lean D | MA-08 |
| Wilmington | 55.0% | 43.0% | D+12.0 | Lean D | MA-03 |
| North Reading | 55.0% | 43.0% | D+12.0 | Lean D | MA-05 |
| Haverhill | 54.0% | 44.0% | D+10.0 | Lean D | MA-03 |
| Groveland | 54.0% | 44.0% | D+10.0 | Lean D | MA-06 |
| Braintree | 53.2% | 46.7% | D+6.5 | Competitive | MA-08 |
| Plymouth | 52.0% | 46.0% | D+6.0 | Competitive | MA-09 |
| Marshfield | 51.6% | 46.5% | D+5.1 | Competitive | MA-09 |
| Methuen | 50.0% | 48.0% | D+2.0 | Competitive | MA-03 |
| Abington | 49.3% | 48.5% | D+0.8 | Competitive | MA-08 |
| Rockland | 49.0% | 49.2% | R+0.2 | Competitive | MA-08 |
| Kingston | 49.0% | 49.3% | R+0.3 | Competitive | MA-09 |
| Tewksbury | 48.5% | 49.3% | R+0.8 | Competitive | MA-03 |
| Whitman | 48.0% | 50.4% | R+2.4 | Competitive | MA-09 |
| Pembroke | 48.0% | 50.8% | R+2.8 | Competitive | MA-09 |
| Lynnfield | 48.0% | 50.9% | R+2.9 | Competitive | MA-06 |
| Hanover | 48.0% | 51.0% | R+3.0 | Competitive | MA-09 |
| Dracut | 45.0% | 53.0% | R+8.0 | Competitive | MA-03 |
| East Bridgewater | 44.6% | 54.6% | R+10.0 | Competitive | MA-09 |
| Saugus | 44.0% | 54.4% | R+10.4 | Lean R | MA-06 |
| Hanson | 44.0% | 54.7% | R+10.7 | Lean R | MA-09 |
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