The $10,000 Insurance Shock: How February 2025's FAIR Plan Changes Are Breaking Boston Real Estate Deals
From the $1M coverage cap to mandatory flood insurance, new MPIUA rules effective February 2025 are forcing buyers into complex multi-policy structures, blowing up debt-to-income ratios, and killing transactions. This comprehensive guide reveals what changed, why it matters, and how to protect your deal.
February 2025 marks a turning point in Massachusetts homeowners insurance. While reinsurance markets show signs of moderation, primary homeowners face a perfect storm: 16% premium increases, new FAIR Plan mandates requiring 90% insurance-to-value and mandatory flood coverage for coastal properties, and a $1 million primary coverage cap forcing high-value homes into complex excess policies. For Greater Boston buyers, insurance has evolved from a closing formality into a transaction-killing constraint that can add $4,500-$10,000+ annually to ownership costs. This deep dive reveals the February 2025 market reality, explains the regulatory changes reshaping the MPIUA, and provides actionable strategies for buyers navigating the hardest insurance market in decades.
Executive Summary: The February 2025 Insurance Market Reality
THE MASSACHUSETTS REALITY:
- Premium increases: 16% forecast for 2025, following 17.9% jump from 2022-2023
- Claims explosion: 67.6% year-over-year increase in claims volume (86,330 claims in 2023)
- Catastrophe losses: $892M in 2023 vs $208M in 2022—more than 4× increase
- Non-renewals: Martha's Vineyard at 11.6% (3rd highest in U.S.), Cape & Islands with 33% FAIR Plan share
THE FEBRUARY 2025 RULE CHANGES:
The Massachusetts FAIR Plan (MPIUA) implemented historic changes:
- 90% Insurance-to-Value Mandate: Coverage must be 90% of reconstruction cost (up from 80%)
- Mandatory Flood Insurance: Coastal properties in SFHA zones must carry flood coverage
- $1M Primary Cap (April 2025): Homes with reconstruction costs >$1M must buy separate excess policies
THE TRANSACTION IMPACT:
Insurance is no longer a closing formality—it's a primary constraint. Buyers can't close without coverage, and unexpected premiums are pushing debt-to-income ratios over lender limits, causing deal failures.
Table of Contents
• I. What Actually Changed in February 2025 →
• II. National Homeowners Market Context →
• III. Massachusetts Market Data 2023-25 →
• IV. Concrete MA Changes & Anecdotes →
• V. How This Shows Up for Homeowners →
• VI. Modeling for Real Estate Analysis →
• VII. Actionable Recommendations →
📊I. What Actually Changed in February 2025 (Big Picture)
February 2025 represents a turning point in the insurance market cycle. While commercial lines show signs of moderation, homeowners insurance remains in a hard market with structural changes that will impact Massachusetts buyers for years to come.
💼Commercial Lines – Still Expensive, Slowly Cooling
The most clean, date-stamped view comes from the Ivans Index February 2025, which tracks premium renewal rates across commercial lines:
| Line of Business | February 2025 YoY Change | January 2025 YoY Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial Auto | +9.53% | +9.41% | Slightly up |
| BOP (Business Owner's Policy) | +8.48% | +9.02% | Down |
| General Liability | +3.95% | +4.19% | Down |
| Commercial Property | +8.34% | +9.74% | Down |
| Umbrella | +9.03% | +9.47% | Down |
| Workers' Comp | -1.55% | -1.44% | More negative |
What This Means
• The market is still hard (high single-digit to near-10% increases on property, auto, umbrella)
• February 2025 is a turning point where month-over-month pressure eases in most lines except commercial auto
• By Q1 2025, Ivans shows renewal rates still up year-over-year but lower than Q4 2024, confirming moderation, not relief
For you as a MA property person, this matters because:
Lenders, HOAs, small businesses, condo trustees are all getting squeezed on their own insurance, which flows through into condo fees, common charges, and rent. Understanding these commercial market dynamics helps explain why your HOA fees are rising or why your landlord is passing through insurance costs.
🏠II. National Homeowners Market Heading Into & Through Feb 2025
Even though there isn't a single "February 1 rule change," the market context around that time is clear: premiums kept climbing after big 2024 jumps, climate and catastrophe losses are now the central pricing story, and policy changes in high-risk states ripple nationwide.
Premium Increases: The New Normal
• Insurify: Average U.S. home premiums went up 8% in 2024, with some states projected for double-digit increases in 2025—e.g., California +21%
• National lender analysis: Found ~20% increase in average home premiums from 2023 to 2024, and a total rise of 78% over six years
• Bankrate: Pegs national average home premium rising ~9% from 2023 to 2025
The Massachusetts Premium Reality:
• Average traditional homeowners premium: $1,818 → $2,054 in one year (+13%)
• 2025 forecast: +16% (significantly above national average)
• Coastal/older homes: 30-50% increases year-over-year
Why Massachusetts Is Worse:
1. High concentration of pre-1940 homes (30.39% of housing stock—highest in nation)
2. Coastal exposure (Cape Cod, Islands, North Shore) with rising sea levels
3. High replacement costs due to local building codes and labor costs
4. Reinsurance treaties renewing January 2025 with higher attachment points
Climate and Catastrophe Losses: The Central Pricing Story
Think 2024's cat losses, wildfires, severe convective storms, and hurricanes feeding into 1/1/25 reinsurance renewals and 2025 admitted-carrier pricing.
Massachusetts-Specific Catastrophe Data (2023):
• 8 catastrophe events caused ~$892M in property losses in 2023 vs ~$208M in 2022—more than 4× increase
• Non-flood water damage & freezing (frozen pipes, ice-dam leaks, etc.) account for 54% of claims and 46.5% of losses
• Claims volume jumped 67.6% year-over-year (86,330 claims in 2023)
The Secondary Perils Problem:
Insurers are increasingly concerned about frequent, smaller-scale events—known as secondary perils—rather than solely focusing on high-magnitude, rare hurricanes. Severe Convective Storms (SCS), involving hail, high winds, and tornadoes, are cited as the top balance-sheet threat by insurance company executives.
Bottom Line:
By February 2025, homeowners insurance is structurally more expensive, more sensitive to location-specific risk, and less guaranteed to be available. The days of "one size fits all" pricing are over.
Policy Changes in High-Risk States Ripple Nationwide
California's emergency approval of a 22% State Farm homeowners rate hike is emblematic—regulators are allowing big jumps to keep carriers solvent.
The Center for American Progress Framework:
Frames this as a "climate-fueled property insurance crisis": insurers reduce coverage, exit risky markets, and sharply raise premiums.
Massachusetts Parallel:
While Massachusetts hasn't seen carrier exits like California or Florida, the state is experiencing similar dynamics:
- Carriers tightening guidelines or withdrawing from certain risks (coastal, pre-1940)
- Regulators allowing premium increases to maintain carrier solvency
- FAIR Plan (residual market) carrying increasing burden
The Regulatory Response:
Massachusetts Division of Insurance issued Bulletin 2024-11 in December 2024, mandating that domestic insurers integrate climate risk into governance and ERM. This regulatory imperative prevents carriers from merely reacting to past claims experience—they must demonstrate forward-looking risk management.
📊III. Massachusetts Homeowners Market – What 2023–25 Data Show
The Massachusetts Division of Insurance's 2023 Annual Home Insurance Report, released in March 2025, provides the official backdrop for what you're seeing on the ground in 2024–25. The data reveals a market under severe stress.
What This Data Explains
1. Claims and cat losses spiked—$892M in catastrophe losses vs $208M the year before
2. FAIR Plan is still heavily used on the coast—33% of Cape & Islands policies
3. Premiums jumped hard even before 2025 filings—$1,818 → $2,054 in one year
4. Loss ratios climbed from 42.2% → 51.2%, compressing carrier margins
The Non-Flood Water Damage Problem:
Non-flood water damage & freezing (frozen pipes, ice-dam leaks, etc.) account for 54% of claims and 46.5% of losses. This is a Massachusetts-specific issue driven by:
- Older housing stock with aging plumbing
- Harsh winters causing pipe freezes
- Ice dams on roofs leading to interior water damage
- Inadequate insulation in pre-1940 homes
The Premium-Policy Count Disconnect:
Total policy count actually fell 0.33% (~7,041 fewer policies), even as premiums grew 17.9%. This suggests:
- Carriers are non-renewing higher-risk policies
- Some homeowners are going uninsured (risky but legal if no mortgage)
- Market is shrinking while costs are rising—classic hard market behavior
🏛️IV. Concrete MA Changes and Anecdotes Around Early 2025
Beyond the data, real-world anecdotes from Massachusetts illustrate how these market forces are playing out for actual homeowners and buyers.
📈4.1. Premium Hikes & "Crisis" Framing
A February 2025 Massachusetts independent agency piece explicitly warns that Massachusetts homeowners should expect continued premium increases in 2025, attributing them to higher reinsurance costs, inflation in construction & labor, severe weather losses, and carriers tightening guidelines or withdrawing from certain risks.
The "Crisis" Narrative Takes Hold
Literally describes the situation as "The homeowners insurance crisis has come to Mass.," emphasizing climate-change-driven losses, non-renewals, and coastal risk.
Boston Business Journal (March 2025):
Highlights a high non-renewal rate for MA homeowners, especially tied to climate-exposed properties, reinforcing the "crisis" narrative cited by local real-estate attorneys.
The Vineyard Gazette (March 2025):
Notes that Martha's Vineyard has one of the highest home-insurance cancellation rates in the country, with the FAIR Plan historically capping coverage at $1M, forcing owners of typical Vineyard houses (median sale price ~$1.6M) into awkward surplus-lines layers.
What Changed in 2025:
The FAIR Plan changed its rules so homeowners can now:
- Insure the first $1M of value with FAIR Plan, then
- Add a separate excess policy for the remainder
Agents call it an "olive branch"—helpful, but tied to a requirement to buy flood insurance if you're in a flood zone, which can make the total bill brutal.
🌊4.2. Non-Renewals & Coastal Pain (Cape, Islands, South Shore)
From the Division of Insurance report and local coverage, the coastal crisis is acute:
The Coastal Non-Renewal Reality
• Had 582k policies in force at year-end 2023
• Recorded 95,847 cancellations (partly customer-initiated, but ~31k insurer-initiated)
• Plus 9,248 non-renewals
Non-Renewed Policies Had Much Higher Claim Frequency:
• 351 claims per 1,000 non-renewed coastal policies
• 77 claims per 1,000 for renewed policies
• 4.5× higher claim frequency for non-renewed properties
Martha's Vineyard Specifics:
• 11.6% non-renewal rate (3rd highest in U.S.)
• FAIR Plan historically capped coverage at $1M
• Median sale price ~$1.6M, creating coverage gap
• 2025 rule change allows excess policies above $1M, but requires flood insurance in flood zones
Real-Estate Closing Attorney Anecdotes:
Deals where:
- Buyer sees their quoted homeowners + flood premium jump 30%+ year-over-year in a flood-prone area
- Sometimes blowing up ratios late in underwriting
- Lenders unexpectedly require additional flood coverage after updated flood-zone data pulls
- Triggering last-minute renegotiation or killing the deal
💨4.3. Wind Deductibles & "Hidden" Out-of-Pocket Risk
The DOI data show just how embedded wind deductibles are in the Massachusetts coastal risk story:
Wind Deductible Prevalence
• 60% of policyholders have mandatory wind deductibles (often 1–5% of dwelling limit)
• In urban areas, it's ~20%
• Overall across designated areas, about a third of policies carry mandatory wind deductibles
The Financial Impact:
A $1.4M Cape house with a 5% wind deductible has a $70k "self-insured" piece before the carrier pays anything on a hurricane claim—on top of higher premiums.
Example Scenario:
• Home value: $1,400,000
• Wind deductible: 5% = $70,000
• Hurricane causes $150,000 in damage
• Insurance pays: $150,000 - $70,000 = $80,000
• Homeowner out-of-pocket: $70,000
This is on top of:
- Higher annual premiums ($3,000-$6,000+ for coastal)
- Mandatory flood insurance ($1,500-$4,000+)
- Potential excess policy costs ($1,500-$4,000+ for high-value homes)
Total annual insurance cost: $6,000-$14,000+
Plus the $70,000 wind deductible if a hurricane hits.
This hidden risk is often not disclosed clearly to buyers, creating surprise financial exposure after closing.
📋4.4. Assignment-of-Benefits Crackdown (MPIUA, 2025)
In April 2025, the MA Property Insurance Underwriting Association (FAIR Plan) rolled out a new Assignment of Benefits (AOB) condition effective June 1, 2025:
New AOB Rule (Effective June 1, 2025)
• MPIUA can validate any third party before an insured assigns claim benefits
• Goal: protect insureds from questionable contractors/public adjusters who take over claims after catastrophes (an issue seen badly in other states, particularly Florida)
Why This Matters:
Even though this is technically April/June 2025, it's part of the same risk-management arc—FAIR Plan is tightening process as the residual-market safety net carries more climate risk.
The Florida Precedent:
Florida's AOB abuse led to:
- Inflated claims costs
- Litigation between carriers and contractors
- Higher premiums for all policyholders
- Carrier insolvencies
Massachusetts Prevention:
By requiring validation before assignment, MPIUA is preventing similar abuse in Massachusetts, but this also means:
- More paperwork for legitimate contractors
- Slower claim processing
- Additional administrative burden for homeowners
🌍4.5. Climate-Risk Governance for Insurers (Bulletin 2024-11)
Mass DOI issued Bulletin 2024-11 in December 2024, with a July 2025 governance deadline, telling domestic insurers they must:
Bulletin 2024-11 Requirements
1. Integrate climate risk into governance and ERM
2. Assess whether climate risk is "material"
3. Document and disclose those assessments
This sits on top of a climate-risk/resiliency survey the DOI uses to understand how carriers are handling climate change.
For You, This Means:
• Expect increasingly granular, location-based underwriting (think micro-flood risk, roof age, elevation, proximity to wetlands)
• More premium credits tied to mitigation (roof work, storm shutters, sump pumps, backup power)
• Carriers proactively non-renewing policies in high-risk areas to maintain climate risk tolerance levels
• Forward-looking risk models that penalize properties based on projected future exposure, not just past claims
The Regulatory Imperative:
This prevents carriers from merely reacting to past claims experience—they must demonstrate to the DOI that they are actively managing future solvency risks based on forward-looking projections.
🏥4.6. Health & Auto Insurance: MA-Specific Wrinkles
Even though your focus is homeowners, two other 2025 MA changes matter to household budgets:
Health Insurance Rebates & Premium Control
MA's strict Medical Loss Ratio laws (88% of premiums must go to care) led to $75M in health-insurance rebates to ~350k people in 2025, after the Division of Insurance forced lower rate hikes.
This is one of the few counterweights to rising P&C costs in a typical household budget.
The Auto Insurance Labor-Rate Tension:
A February 2025 cover story in New England Automotive Report points out MA's $40/hour insurer-paid collision labor rate—the lowest in the U.S.—has left some shops unable to stay in business, despite small insurer increases.
That's a good example of under-reimbursement pressure on providers at the same time drivers see their own premiums rising due to national auto-loss inflation.
The Household Budget Squeeze:
While homeowners insurance is rising 16%, health insurance rebates provide some relief. However, auto insurance is also rising, creating a triple squeeze on household budgets.
🏡V. How This Shows Up for an Actual Massachusetts Homeowner (2025 Lens)
Putting the data + anecdotes together, a typical MA homeowner in 2025 is dealing with multiple compounding pressures:
The 2025 Homeowner Experience
- •Premium increases: Often high single-digit to low double-digit at renewal, especially if coastal / near a river or marsh, older roof or electrical, prior water/ice-dam claims
- •Coverage tightening: Higher wind/hurricane deductibles, sometimes percentage-based. More exclusions for cosmetic damage, mold, matching, and sometimes tougher requirements around maintenance (roof, gutters, grading)
- •Availability risk: Non-renewals following multiple claims or major water losses, especially in "designated" coastal/urban zip codes. Forced migration to FAIR Plan for older coastal properties or homes with quirky systems (e.g., unremediated knob-and-tube, wood-burning stoves, non-updated roofs)
- •Transaction friction: Lenders requiring flood coverage earlier in underwriting; deals occasionally die when flood + wind + homeowners premiums push DTI over the edge. Attorneys and agents are now front-loading insurance conversations during the offer phase, not as a back-office closing item
- •Regulatory shift toward resilience: Carriers increasingly offering credits for mitigation (roof work, storm shutters, sump pumps, backup power) because DOI is explicitly tracking climate-risk and resilience efforts
The Total Cost of Ownership Reality
2024 (Before Changes):
- Voluntary market premium: $2,800/year
- No flood insurance required by carrier
- Total: $2,800/year
2025 (After Non-Renewal, Forced to FAIR Plan):
- FAIR Plan premium at 90% ITV ($675K coverage): $4,500/year
- Mandatory flood insurance: $2,200/year
- Total: $6,700/year
Increase: +$3,900/year (+139%)
Over 10 years: $39,000 in additional insurance costs
High-Value Scenario: Martha's Vineyard Estate ($2M replacement cost)
2025 FAIR Plan Structure:
- FAIR Plan primary ($1M coverage): $7,500/year
- Excess policy ($1M coverage): $3,500/year
- Mandatory flood insurance: $6,000/year (private market, high limits)
- Total: $17,000/year
This is $1,417/month just for property insurance.
For comparison, property taxes on this property might be $18,000/year. Insurance is now consuming nearly as much as taxes.
Use our financing calculator to factor these costs into your total ownership analysis.
📊VI. If You're Modeling This for MA Real Estate Analysis
From your perspective (pricing, risk ranking, buyer advisory), February 2025 insurance dynamics suggest specific modeling approaches:
Modeling Recommendations
Use FAIR Plan share, non-renewal/cancellation frequencies, and wind-deductible prevalence (e.g., Cape vs Middlesex) as variables.
2. Property-Level Risk Flags For:
• Proximity to water / flood zone
• Roof age and material
• Presence of recent ice-dam / water-damage claims (where you can infer it)
• Older systems without recent permits
3. Scenario Testing for Buyers:
• Base case + 20–30% higher premium
• Plus a 2–5% wind deductible shock on coastal properties
• Factor in mandatory flood insurance for SFHA properties
• Account for excess policy costs for high-value homes ($1M+ replacement cost)
4. Transaction Risk Assessment:
Properties with high insurance friction scores should:
- Require insurance quotes DURING inspection period
- Have longer contingency periods
- Include insurance cost verification in due diligence
- Budget for potential premium increases at renewal
Use our town comparison tool to see insurance risk factors for all 86 Greater Boston communities.
✅VII. Actionable Recommendations for Boston Home Buyers (2025)
Navigating the Massachusetts insurance market in 2025 requires a proactive, risk-averse approach, treating insurance due diligence as critical path item that must be completed at the start of the buying process.
For Homebuyers: Pre-Purchase Insurance Due Diligence
Buyers must secure firm, binding insurance quotes immediately upon the acceptance of an offer. Relying on generic estimates or delaying the process until the final weeks risks receiving an unexpectedly high quote that could destabilize the DTI ratio, forcing a costly re-underwrite or jeopardizing the loan closing.
Strategy #2: Conduct the $1M Replacement Cost Compliance Check
For any home in the Boston metro area priced near or above $1 million, the buyer must proactively determine the estimated Coverage A (replacement cost). If the property is being forced onto the MPIUA and the $1M threshold is breached (effective April 15, 2025), the buyer must immediately initiate the process of securing the separate, specialized excess insurance policy. This compliance step is non-negotiable to avoid the ACV trap and protect the equity investment.
Strategy #3: Mandatory Flood Zone and Mitigation Review
Buyers should consult FEMA flood maps and review the Massachusetts Coastal Zone Management list to confirm if the property is in a Special Flood Hazard Area (SFHA). If located in an SFHA, flood insurance should be budgeted for and secured as a dual-policy requirement imposed by the MPIUA. Furthermore, buyers should request documentation regarding the age of the roof and the presence of any mitigating features, as these details increasingly influence underwriting acceptance and premium cost.
Strategy #4: Scrutinize Condo Operating Expenses
For condominium purchases, the review of the HOA master policy premium and the associated operating budget is essential. Buyers must specifically analyze line items reflecting increasing commercial property insurance costs, which translate into rising condo fees—a long-term, non-mortgage financial commitment.
Resources for Buyers
• Complete Financing Calculator – Factor in insurance, maintenance, remediation, and hidden costs
• Town Comparison Tool – Compare all 86 Greater Boston towns by insurance risk factors, housing age, and total ownership costs
• Insurance Crisis Deep Dive – 48-minute comprehensive analysis: FAIR Plan changes, K&T wiring impacts, Martha's Vineyard non-renewals
• Historic Home Insurance Trap – Pre-1940 homes and the $44,500-$110,000+ entry fee
• Real Estate Glossary – Plain English explanations: "FAIR Plan," "ACV vs RCV," "insurance-to-value," "wind deductible"
• AI Property Expert – Ask anything: "Is this property insurable?" "Which towns avoid insurance issues?" Instant answers
📚Conclusion: Managing Risk in a Climate-Defined Market
The insurance market adjustments observed around February 2025—from the moderation of reinsurance pricing at the high-catastrophe level to the introduction of granular, mandatory policy requirements by the MPIUA—signify that insurance is evolving from a static expense into a dynamic, primary constraint on home ownership in Massachusetts.
The Core Challenge
The persistent upward pressure on primary rates, driven by retained working-layer risk (SCS) and regulatory mandates requiring climate-informed underwriting, creates a new reality where insurance due diligence is as critical as home inspection.
For the subset of high-value properties that rely on the state safety net:
The implementation of the MPIUA's $1 million coverage cap introduces a significant compliance burden that can add $1,500-$4,000+ annually in excess policy costs.
The Risk:
Ignoring the complexities of the MPIUA cap or the implications of the state's aggressive climate risk mandates risks not only unexpectedly high premiums but also the devastating financial exposure of an Actual Cash Value settlement following a major loss.
The Solution:
By understanding these regulatory shifts and market forces, buyers can engage in proactive due diligence, ensuring that their homeownership investment remains financially sound and resilient against the evolving climate risks facing the Commonwealth.
📖Related Content & Further Reading
Continue Your Research
• The Massachusetts Insurance Trap – Why coastal homes face 11.6% non-renewal rates and how it's killing real estate deals
• Historic Home Financial Trap – The $44,500-$110,000+ entry fee for pre-1940 homes
Market Analysis & Town Guides:
• Hopkinton Market Analysis – Low-risk market example with competitive insurance pricing
• Duxbury Market Analysis – Coastal property analysis with insurance risk assessment
• Town Comparison Tool – Compare all 86 Greater Boston towns by insurance risk, housing age, and total costs
Buyer Education:
• Complete Financing Guide – Factor insurance into total ownership costs
• Real Estate Glossary – Understand FAIR Plan, ACV, ITV, and other insurance terms
• AI Property Expert – Get instant answers about specific properties or insurance scenarios
📋Data Sources & Methodology
Sources & Citations
• Massachusetts Division of Insurance 2023 Annual Home Insurance Report (released March 2025)
• Ivans Index February 2025 Results
• Massachusetts Property Insurance Underwriting Association (MPIUA) Producer Manual (Q2 2025)
• Massachusetts Division of Insurance Bulletin 2024-11 (December 2024)
• U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey (housing stock data)
• FEMA Flood Maps and Special Flood Hazard Area designations
Industry Reports & Analysis:
• Insurify 2025 Home Insurance Report
• Bankrate Home Insurance Trends
• Center for American Progress climate insurance analysis
• S&P Global Reinsurance Renewals January 2025
• Gallagher Re Property Renewals Analysis
Local Media Coverage:
• Boston Globe (January 2025): "The homeowners insurance crisis has come to Mass"
• Boston Business Journal (March 2025): Non-renewal rate analysis
• Vineyard Gazette (March 2025): Martha's Vineyard insurance cancellation rates
• New England Automotive Report (February 2025): Auto insurance labor rates
Methodology:
This analysis synthesizes official state data, industry reports, and local media coverage to provide a comprehensive view of the February 2025 Massachusetts insurance market. All statistics are sourced from official reports or reputable industry publications. Premium estimates are based on 2024-2025 market data and may vary by individual property characteristics.
⚖️Legal Disclaimer
Important Disclaimer
Key Limitations:
• Premium estimates are illustrative and may not reflect actual quotes for specific properties
• Insurance availability and pricing are subject to change based on market conditions and carrier underwriting guidelines
• FAIR Plan rules and requirements may be updated by the Massachusetts Division of Insurance
• Flood zone designations are subject to FEMA map updates
• Individual property characteristics (age, condition, location, claims history) significantly impact insurability and pricing
For Specific Property Analysis:
Use our AI Property Expert or request custom research for property-specific insurance and risk assessment.
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