Andover, Massachusetts

Investment-Grade Real Estate Market Analysis • October 2025

Median Price
$1.1M
BPI Score: 81.6
Price/SqFt
$485
North Shore premium
Median Income
$168K
Top 15% nationwide
School Rating
8.5/10
A+ District
Commute Time
32 min
Route 93 access
Investment Score
84/100
Strong Buy

Executive Summary

Investment Thesis: Andover emerges as the North Shore's premier value play—offering elite A+ schools (8.5/10 rating), Phillips Academy prestige, and historic New England charm at median pricing of $1.1M. This represents 27% below Winchester ($1.5M), 35% below Lexington ($1.7M), and 28% below Belmont ($1.52M), while delivering comparable or superior school quality and a distinctive prep-school gravitas that Winchester can't match.

With a Boston Prestige Index (BPI) score of 81.6 (ranking #25 in Greater Boston), Andover punches significantly above its price point. The town's Educational Excellence subscore of 86.8 places it in the top tier, while Phillips Academy adds cultural capital that compounds property values over decades. The combination of strong fundamentals (median household income $168K, <0.2 violent crime rate per 1,000), completed infrastructure investments ($191M West Elementary School, 2024), and North Shore positioning creates a compressed spring ready for sustained appreciation.

ROI Projections by Strategy

West Elementary Zone Play

5-8%

Price premium capture over 3-5 years as new facility reputation solidifies

Low Risk

Phillips Academy Proximity

21%

YoY appreciation vs. 6.2% town average. 50%+ premium for immediate adjacency

High ROI

Value Entry via Condos

$301K

Entry points into A-rated school district with strong rental demand

Diversification

Teardown/Rebuild

15-25%

Custom construction premium on 1+ acre West Andover parcels

Moderate Risk

Risk Assessment: LOW-MODERATE. Andover benefits from exceptional demographic stability (median household income $167,591, 2.1% poverty rate, 75% bachelor's degree attainment), diversified employment base anchored by Raytheon (10,000 employees), and only 1.1-1.3 months housing inventory. Primary risks include 45-50 minute Boston commute times during peak hours.

Market Overview

Demographics: Affluent, Highly Educated Professional Class

Andover's 36,323 residents (Essex County) represent one of Massachusetts' most economically advantaged communities. Median household income of $167,591 places it 2.5x the national median, with per capita income of $82,177—ranking among the top 15% nationwide. An exceptional 75.2% hold bachelor's degrees or higher—ranking second highest in the Greater Boston region and far exceeding Massachusetts (46.6%) and Essex County (42.3%) averages.

The household composition tilts heavily toward established families: 75.3% family households, 68.8% homeownership rate, and 2.67 persons per household. The median age of 44 shows concentration in peak earning years, with significant youth population indicating sustained demand for quality schools. This demographic stability creates natural pricing floors and demand resilience.

Community Vibe: Town Vibes data from local residents consistently tags Andover as "families-with-kids" (100% of responses), "great-schools" (83%), "safe-neighborhood" (75%), "historic-charm" (75%), "academic-crowd" (75%), and "upper-class" (75%). This exceptional consistency in community perception reflects the town's well-defined identity and the self-reinforcing nature of its educated, family-focused demographic base. With only 0.2 violent crimes per 1,000 residents and 5.9 property crimes per 1,000, Andover ranks among the safest communities in Massachusetts.

Economic Drivers: Defense, Biotech, and Advanced Manufacturing

Andover functions as a major employment hub rather than bedroom community, with 93% of workers commuting from outside the town. Raytheon Company dominates with 10,000 employees (doubled 2015-2024), representing nearly one-third of private-sector employment. Additional Fortune 500 and public companies include Pfizer (1,000-4,999 employees), Smith & Nephew medical devices (1,000-4,999), and Mercury Systems aerospace (500-999).

The employment base skews 92.4% white-collar in professional and administrative positions. Key sectors include educational services (20.4%), professional/scientific/technical services (18.8%), healthcare (13.4%), and manufacturing (12.4%).

Infrastructure Advantage: Andover sits at the intersection of I-495 and I-93, providing strategic access to Boston (25 miles), Cambridge (25-30 miles), Route 128 technology corridor (15-20 miles), and southern New Hampshire employment centers.

Housing Stock: Colonial-Dominated Inventory

Andover's 13,279 housing units break down as 68.85% single-family detached homes (9,147 units), with the remainder split among large apartment complexes (18.84%), small multi-family (7.30%), and attached homes (4.59%). The owner-occupied rate of 76.72% creates naturally tight inventory and stable neighborhood character.

Age distribution reveals historical development patterns: 37.59% built 1970-1999 (largest segment), 23.47% from 1940-1969, 22.93% pre-1939 (remarkable historic preservation), and only 16.01% post-2000 (limited recent construction constrains supply).

Colonial architecture dominates active listings, reflecting Andover's deep historical roots. Seven National Register Historic Districts and 51 individual registered properties anchor neighborhood character and preserve value.

Investment Strategies & Opportunities

Strategy 1: West Elementary School Zone Arbitrage

Concept: The $191M West Elementary School opened in 2024, creating a compressed pricing opportunity. Properties in this zone have not yet fully captured the premium that established zones command.

Target Properties: Modern family homes, $1M-$1.5M range, 3,000-3,500 sq ft, updated kitchens, walking distance to new school.

Financial Projection:

  • Acquisition: $1.2M
  • Light Renovation: $58K-$83K
  • Hold Period: 3-5 years
  • Premium Capture: 5-8%
  • Base Appreciation: 5-8% annually
  • Total Gain: $240K-$360K over 5 years
  • Annual ROI: 18-25% on equity invested
Recommended

Strategy 2: Phillips Academy Proximity Premium

Concept: Properties within walking distance of Phillips Academy command sustained premiums due to rental income from visiting parents, prestige association, cultural amenities access, and international buyer appeal.

Target Properties: Historic colonials/Tudors within 0.5 mile of campus, $1.5M-$2.5M range, 3,500-5,000 sq ft.

Financial Projection:

  • Acquisition: $1.8M
  • Renovation: $157K-$223K
  • Rental Income: $379-$399/night, 50-60% occupancy = $35K-$45K annually
  • Appreciation: 21% annually (vs 6.2% town average)
  • 5-Year Value: $4.5M+
  • Total Return: $2.7M+ (appreciation + rental income)
  • Annual ROI: 28-35% on equity
Highest ROI

Strategy 3: Entry-Tier Condo Portfolio

Concept: Condominiums offer lowest entry point ($301K-$525K) into A-rated Andover school district with strong rental demand from Raytheon/Pfizer employees.

Financial Projection (per unit):

  • Acquisition: $400K
  • Cosmetic Renovation: $22K-$33K
  • Rental Income: $2,400-$2,800/month
  • Annual Cash Flow: $8K-$12K (after expenses)
  • Appreciation: 5-8% annually
  • Cash-on-Cash Return: 12-18%
Positive Cash Flow

Implementation Guide

Phase 1: Market Research & Team Assembly (Months 1-2)

Phase 2: Acquisition (Months 2-4)

Phase 3: Value-Add Execution (Months 4-6)

Renovation Priorities by Strategy:

  • West Elementary Zone: Kitchen updates ($25K-$35K), primary bath ($15K-$20K), refinished floors ($8K-$12K). Total: $58K-$83K, 8-12 weeks.
  • Phillips Academy Proximity: Historic kitchen ($40K-$60K), bathroom modernization ($50K-$70K), HVAC ($15K-$25K), furnishing for STR ($40K-$50K). Total: $157K-$223K, 16-20 weeks.
  • Entry-Tier Condos: Flooring ($4K-$6K), paint ($3K-$4K), kitchen refresh ($8K-$12K), bathroom updates ($5K-$8K). Total: $22K-$33K, 4-6 weeks.

Phase 4: Monetization & Ongoing Management (Months 6-60)

Target 12-18 months for initial acquisition and value-add execution on 2-3 properties, with ongoing management extending 3-5 years for full appreciation capture.

Interactive ROI Calculator

Calculate potential returns for your Andover investment strategy:

Investment Analysis

Total Investment $0
Cash Required (Down Payment + Reno) $0
Property Value After Hold Period $0
Total Rental Income $0
Equity Gain $0
Total Profit (Appreciation + Rental) $0
Annual ROI on Cash Invested 0%

Andover's Position in the Greater Boston Hierarchy

Understanding Andover's competitive positioning requires examining its place within Boston's 100-town prestige rankings. Andover ranks #25 overall in the Boston Prestige Index (BPI), placing it solidly in the "Aspiring & Niche Suburbs" tier—but with a critical differentiation.

The Boston Prestige Index Breakdown

Economic Standing
82.3

Top quintile income levels

Educational Excellence
86.8

Highest subscore—elite tier

Quality of Life
88.5

Safety and community strength

Cultural Capital
69.1

Phillips Academy provides unique advantage

Competitive Comparison: Where the Value Arbitrage Lies

Town BPI Rank Median Price School Rating Andover Discount
Andover #25 $1.1M 8.5/10 (A+) BASELINE
Winchester #11 $1.5M 8.8/10 (A+) +36%
Lexington #5 $1.7M 9.5/10 (A+) +55%
Belmont #7 $1.52M 9.1/10 (A+) +38%
Wellesley #1 $1.9M+ 9.8/10 (A+) +73%

The Arbitrage Opportunity: Andover delivers an Educational Excellence score (86.8) that rivals towns ranked 15-20 spots higher, yet trades at 27-55% below their median pricing. The differential stems from North Shore location vs. MetroWest prestige and 32-minute commute vs. closer-in positioning. For education-focused buyers not dependent on daily downtown commutes, Andover offers exceptional value capture—you're essentially buying Lexington-caliber schools at a 35% discount.

Why Andover Remains Undervalued

  1. Geographic Bias: Boston's elite suburb perception favors MetroWest (Route 128 corridor) over North Shore, despite comparable fundamentals
  2. Commute Premium Overpricing: Remote work trends (24.7% WFH in Andover) reduce commute sensitivity, yet pricing hasn't fully adjusted
  3. Phillips Academy Halo Not Fully Priced: The cultural capital and network effects of hosting one of America's top 5 prep schools compounds slowly but powerfully
  4. Infrastructure Investment Lag: The $191M West Elementary School (2024) creates a 3-5 year window before zone premiums fully materialize

Conclusion: Differentiated Value in Boston's Elite Suburbs

The investment-grade case for Andover rests on five compelling pillars:

  1. Educational Excellence (86.8 BPI subscore) at 27-55% discount versus comparable MetroWest suburbs—delivering Lexington-caliber schools (8.5/10 A+ district) at $1.1M vs. $1.7M
  2. Phillips Academy cultural capital creating sustained prestige and property value appreciation through network effects, international recognition, and community identity
  3. Completed infrastructure catalyst—$191M West Elementary School (2024) providing 3-5 year window for zone premium arbitrage before full price discovery
  4. Exceptional demographic resilience—$168K median income, 75% bachelor's degree attainment, 0.2 violent crime rate, and 100% "families-with-kids" community identity
  5. North Shore positioning discount—geographic bias favoring MetroWest creates structural mispricing for remote workers and Route 128/495 corridor professionals who don't require close-in location

With a Boston Prestige Index score of 81.6 (ranking #25 of 100 towns), Andover delivers top-quartile fundamentals while trading at middle-market pricing. Conservative modeling projects 4-6% annual baseline appreciation, with strategic plays (West Elementary zone, Phillips Academy proximity, value-add renovations) capturing additional 3-8% annual returns through tactical positioning.

Investment-Grade Recommendation: STRONG BUY

Andover represents BUY with high conviction (Investment Score: 84/100) for education-focused families and value-oriented real estate investors seeking exposure to Boston's elite suburban markets at compressed valuations. The town's Educational Excellence subscore (86.8) rivals communities ranked 15-20 spots higher in overall BPI, yet Andover trades 27-55% below their median pricing—creating exceptional value capture opportunity for buyers not dependent on downtown Boston proximity.

Target Buyer Profile: Remote workers and hybrid professionals, education-focused families prioritizing A+ schools over walkability, Route 128/495 corridor employees (Raytheon, Pfizer, tech companies), and long-term investors comfortable with 5-10 year hold periods to capture full appreciation potential.